I wonder if there’s a meaningful way to factor in the oft mentioned “protest vote”. Act in 2020 when the National leadership was a shambles, and potentially the Greens this last election given Labour’s woes. I suppose it’s impossible. Not enough data. Too vague a premise. But it sure would be interesting to think about “cost of acquiring a non-party faithful”, cost of “flipping a blue to red (etc.)”, cost of maintaining party loyal vote, cost of preventing defection within one’s own block (left/right). Especially with the Greens wanting to be the premiere left wing party, it’ll be all the more important.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/sir-john-keys-former-parnell-home-resale-of-mansion-loses-7m/KKM7NBNTFVDHBMRPEB37I6CL64/#:~:text=Ben%20Leahy&text=A%20Chinese%20businessman's%20decision%20to,years%2C%20according%20to%20new%20data.
Draw your own conclusion
I wonder if there’s a meaningful way to factor in the oft mentioned “protest vote”. Act in 2020 when the National leadership was a shambles, and potentially the Greens this last election given Labour’s woes. I suppose it’s impossible. Not enough data. Too vague a premise. But it sure would be interesting to think about “cost of acquiring a non-party faithful”, cost of “flipping a blue to red (etc.)”, cost of maintaining party loyal vote, cost of preventing defection within one’s own block (left/right). Especially with the Greens wanting to be the premiere left wing party, it’ll be all the more important.