Democracy Briefing: Does the Treaty Hikoi signify the birth of a new Māori nation?
On the first day of the Coalition Government’s parliamentary term in December of 2023 Te Pāti Māori called for a National Māori Action Day, which co-leader Rawiri Waititi described as “a day of activation”. Waititi then led 300 protesters on a hikoi to Parliament where they performed a haka on the forecourt. The small activation foreshadowed something more significant for the quickly evolving Te Pāti Māori.
Te Pāti Māori reinvented as self-determination protest movement
Te Pāti Māori is a re-invention of the Māori Party, formed twenty years ago in response to Labour’s Foreshore and Seabed legislation. It entered government with National, serving from 2008 to 2017, with its leaders and senior MPs serving as ministers. The party was voted out of Parliament in the 2017 election, and its seats were recaptured by Labour. This was seen as punishment by Māori voters for serving in a rightwing government and becoming too moderate.
In the 2023 election, Te Pāti Māori regained six of the seven Māori seats, and Waititi’s use of the word “activation” to describe its protests signalled a very different direction for his party while raising questions about the role it could play in a leftwing coalition.
The party's current leadership rejects Parliament as the legitimate sovereign legislating over Māori. Instead, Te Pāti Māori’s role is to challenge the institution's authority and build an alternate political system. Rather than being just another political party in Parliament, it styles itself as a “protest movement inside Parliament”.
The haka initiated by MP Hana-Rāwhiti Maipi-Clarke, challenging David Seymour’s Treaty Principles Bill, deliberately broke parliamentary protocol. The footage went viral, generating global attention. The purpose was not to debate the law but to challenge the institution’s right to pass it.
Te Pāti Māori is using the resources and power of Parliament to build a nationwide movement
There was a second activation day in May to protest the coalition’s Budget, during which the party declared political independence. Like the first day of activation, this consisted of moderate-sized protests.
But this week’s hikoi mo te tiriti is believed to have been the capital’s largest political protest, with Police estimating the size of the crowd at 47,000. Its key organiser and spokesperson was a parliamentary staffer, Eru Kapa-Kingi, son of Te Pāti Māori MP Mariameno Kapa-Kingi and a candidate on the Te Pāti Māori’s list in the 2023 election. Parliamentary staffers are supposed to function as public servants supporting legislative functions, but it is routine for political parties to use them as activists within their organisations.
It’s unlikely that any other political party or activist group could arrange a protest event on this scale. Te Pāti Māori’s ability to do so will make National and its coalition partners very nervous about the prospect of escalation. Although the focus of the hikoi was David Seymour’s Treaty Principles Bill, many speakers talked about devolving Māori political power from Parliament. Kapa-Kingi said of his march: “Today, a Māori nation has been born.”
What a “Māori nation” means is yet to be determined, but typically, creating or recognising a “nation” has highly significant constitutional ramifications. The Te Pāti Māori website suggests that it means the establishment of a separate and devolved Parliament, much like that in Scotland, which has significant authority over a specific geographical space.
Labour’s response and problems
Labour’s response to the hikoi has been to endorse it. The leader of its Māori caucus, Willie Jackson, has been a vocal advocate for the movement.
There’s considerable risk in this approach. Jackson’s stated aim in Parliament is to win back the Māori seats, but he may be seen as endorsing the politics of Te Pāti Māori. Public reaction against Labour’s co-governance policies seemed to play a meaningful role in their heavy defeat last year, and centrist voters may switch to National in preference to Jackson’s politics, while more radical Māori voters prefer Te Pāti Māori.
Labour’s opponents will also question the nature of a leftwing coalition containing such a radical movement. New Zealand First and Act are minority parties with politics that are opposed by many voters, but they still support the political system as it currently stands. The Green Party has always presented itself as the anti-establishment alternative to the centre-left politics offered by Labour. It might also lose voters to the more radical vision offered by Te Pāti Māori. Hana-Rāwhiti Maipi-Clarke has called on all Māori to sign up to the Māori electoral roll, which could increase the number of Māori seats in Parliament – and her movement’s power base.
National’s immediate problems
National’s problems are more immediate. Seymour’s Principles Bill could win him centre-right voters, but if the debate intensifies, it could also trigger civil disorder. National has agreed to allow the Bill to spend six months in select committee before voting it down at its second reading.
The bureaucratic nature of the committee process may take the heat out of the issue, but both Seymour and Te Pāti Māori have an incentive to amplify the conflict. The Waitangi Day celebrations in early February will be an obvious flashpoint for further activations.
It must be tempting for National to place the House under urgency, progress Seymour’s bill to second reading, and vote it down. But this would put immense strain on the coalition, which is supposed to operate based on good faith and Cabinet consensus. An early election could be provoked, leading to National bleeding votes to Act.
The Integrity of Te Pāti Māori is still under investigation
The other uncertainty hanging over Te Pāti Māori is the number of ongoing investigations into its donations and alleged misuse of census data during last year’s campaign. The solicitor-general is looking into the questions around census data, and the Electoral Commission has referred the party’s failure to file an annual financial statement to the police. This week Statistics New Zealand announced that their inquiry, which was originally due to conclude on 31 July, has been extended further, with no final date known.
Te Pāti Māori President John Tamihere has stated publicly that he believes such investigations are politically motivated, saying in June of this year: “The fact of the matter is, as usual Māori are being used as a scapegoat to cover up and deflect from what is really going on in this country. Te Pāti Māori are endlessly attacked, and the matter is being made into a race debate through no fault of our own.”
Suppose Police do decide to prosecute for a breach of the Electoral Act. In that case, they will have to explain why they failed to bring charges against National MP David MacLeod for failing to disclose $178,000 in donations for his election campaign last year, which appeared to be a clear breach of the laws around donations.
Yet, suppose authorities decide that no further action needs to be taken regarding a breach of electoral law. In that case, they will have confirmed that New Zealand’s political parties are above the law, no matter who they claim to represent.
Dr Bryce Edwards
Political Analyst in Residence, Director of the Democracy Project, Victoria University of Wellington
Please note: This analysis can be published by any media outlet for free under a Creative Commons copyright-free license. Attributions should include a link to the Substack page.
Am I on my own when it offends me that the current Solicitor General, named in the Royal Commission's report on Abuse in State Care, as treating victims of the state harshly, is sitting in judgement on a political party when she should be up the road? She's well past her use-by date. The woman is a disgrace, especially after her hollow apology last week in Parliament.
The question makes absolute sense in context.
Talking to supporters of the activist Maori "cause", after all the obfuscation enabled by their typical overuse of profoundly vague Maori-ish terminology and emotive platitudes is interpreted, divided, self-rule is exactly what activist Maori and their supporters are after.
Although self-rule doesn't go as far as self sustainability. Consequently to fill that massive void, they also want co-governance, to put them in a position to mine or extract a healthy income from Pakeha, whilst making full use of Pakeha resources, infrastructure and know how.
All of this ironically, being of course entirely anathematic to the Treaty that they claim so vehemently to support, including what can only be seen as diametrically opposite to pursuing a "partnership of good faith", deliberately misinterpreting that judicial comment as signifying a governing partnership, rather than one only for the purpose of fulfilling the Treaty. Co-governance being a demand that could not unreasonably be described as the ultimate in bad faith.
Of course this could all be set aside as the ravings of a bunch of nutters, if it wasn't for, not only their representation in Parliament (with recent parliamentary antics certainly representing what to expect if this "new nation" is let loose) but also quite clearly by lawyers and judges in the justice system, not forgetting widespread general support by the wokerati left (CRT, DEI, post modernist social justice warriors) who have embedded themselves in some of our most prominent leadership positions. Also not forgetting the significant tail wind provided by a cowardly, woke leaning PM when it comes to societal matters.
I don't believe we will see an actual new nation, but the stage is certainly being set for achieving significant progress towards He Puapua, possibly of a sort of which the Ardern regime could only dream. It could go the other way of course if your average Kiwi decides they've had enough and there was massive support and pressure on the Government in favour of the TPB, but I won't be holding my breath.